Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.696397 4.268002 4.899379 5.648668 6.513951 7.482223 8.648607
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.966924 3.723519 4.631128 5.800835 7.269902 9.056026 11.396236
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.341535 3.159273 4.213149 5.672518 7.644585 10.222412 13.857793
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.865650 2.684705 3.809854 5.471054 7.867551 11.209834 16.244590
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.601855 2.443731 3.669144 5.586869 8.522968 12.866585 19.815460
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.339641 2.155044 3.406011 5.470307 8.806782 14.015448 22.819047
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.227291 2.073761 3.437249 5.800708 9.817940 16.410966 28.139754
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.110383 1.963436 3.400879 6.008728 10.653105 18.637360 33.533131
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.982189 1.811615 3.269008 6.027580 11.158525 20.368888 38.332049
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.829450 1.591082 2.982473 5.722142 11.028372 20.944978 41.103669
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.773893 1.541418 2.996929 5.973612 11.967590 23.612158 48.247209
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.743692 1.535394 3.091232 6.390490 13.285772 27.187299 57.743100
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.683185 1.462835 3.051476 6.546746 14.133466 30.017502 66.318372
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.618461 1.371618 2.960810 6.583940 14.741112 32.454352 74.491881
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.539878 1.238187 2.761606 6.354941 14.733015 33.572664 79.929012
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.469135 1.111025 2.556752 6.079741 14.573780 34.324733 84.639091
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.433732 1.060035 2.515510 6.177584 15.302690 37.231550 95.035061
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.386850 0.974293 2.380872 6.029802 15.413098 38.684172 102.065213
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.374348 0.971367 2.443951 6.382062 16.831397 43.572014 118.815736
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.355282 0.948765 2.455088 6.603254 17.947709 47.871072 134.763613
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.327793 0.899833 2.392131 6.619071 18.519779 50.837565 147.571210
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.287441 0.810014 2.209304 6.280439 18.063932 50.962856 152.322518
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.277000 0.801550 2.243689 6.554847 19.387477 56.235977 173.139224